A new Reuters/Ipsos poll found that U.S. President Joe Biden has slightly increased his lead over Donald Trump ahead of the November election as the Republican candidate prepares for the first of four criminal trials.
If the election were held today, 41% of registered voters in the five-day poll, which ended on Monday, would vote for Democrat Biden, compared to 37% for former President Trump.
Biden led Reuters/Ipsos by 1 point in March, but now by 4 points.
The survey has a 4% margin of error for registered voters, and many are undecided seven months before Nov. 5.
The poll found that 22% of registered voters had not chosen a candidate, were leaning toward third parties, or might not vote.
Nationwide surveys show American support for political candidates, but only a few competitive states usually tip the electoral college, which decides the presidential election.
There are significant liabilities that both candidates carry in advance of what is anticipated to be a close race and the first rematch of the presidential election in the United States in nearly seven decades.
On the 15th of April, President Trump is scheduled to make an appearance in a courtroom in Manhattan for the beginning of the first of four ongoing criminal trials. The allegations that Trump concealed a payment to an adult film actress prior to the presidential election in 2016 in exchange for the actress’ silence regarding an alleged sexual encounter she had with Trump are at the center of the trial that is taking place in Manhattan.
To the charges, Trump has entered a plea of not guilty, and he has denied having any such encounter. Other trials involve allegations that Trump attempted to overturn his loss in the 2020 election or that he mishandled sensitive documents after leaving the presidency in 2021. Both of these allegations are being brought against him. On all of the charges, Trump has entered a plea of not guilty.
Concerns about Biden’s age, which is 81, as well as strong criticism from a portion of his Democratic Party regarding his support of Israel’s war on Hamas militants, are among the liabilities that he faces.
There were a number of different ways to measure support for Biden and Trump (77), and the majority of them pointed to a close race. The poll was conducted across the country and included adults.
Among all respondents, Biden had a smaller lead—just one percentage point—but his lead among registered voters was significant. This is due to the fact that individuals who are already registered to vote are more likely to exercise their right to vote in November.
In the 2020 presidential election, with Biden emerging victorious over Trump, only two-thirds of eligible voters participated in the voting process. Biden was in the lead among those who had a college degree, while Trump was in the lead among those who did not have a college degree.
833 registered voters nationwide were surveyed online for the Reuters/Ipsos poll, and their responses were included. The margin of error for voters who were registered was approximately 4%