Two polls suggest Donald Trump will lose the presidential election, the latest shift in what has been a close race thus far.
In March, the former leader and incumbent President Joe Biden won enough primary races to secure the Republican and Democratic nominations for the 2024 presidential election.
Surveys have predicted that the outcome will be close, with the pair either leading by a narrow margin or statistically tied in the majority of them.
But according to two recent polls, Trump is now only slightly behind. In a race that included independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 40% of all voters said they would vote for Biden, and 38% said they would vote for Trump, according to a poll conducted among 1,046 adults by Florida Atlantic University and Mainstreet Research.
When only likely voters were polled, 44 percent of respondents indicated that they would vote for Biden, while 39 percent indicated that they would vote for Trump.
Additionally, the poll revealed that 47 percent of likely voters would support Biden and 46 percent would support Trump in a two-person race.
All of the voters were polled, and the results showed that Trump and Biden were tied for the lead in a race between two candidates, with each receiving 44 percent of the vote.
During the period of time between April 26 and April 28, the survey was carried out.
In the meantime, a Reuters/Ipsos survey of 856 registered voters, which concluded on Tuesday, revealed that 40% of registered voters would support Biden and 39% would support Trump.
But Biden’s lead of one percent is less than the four points he held in a Reuters/Ipsos poll earlier this month.
Meanwhile, Trump is leading, according to other recent polls.
For example, according to a CNN poll of 1,212 respondents conducted by independent research firm SSRS between April 18 and 23, 49% of registered voters favored Trump and 43% supported Biden.
According to an April poll conducted by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult, Trump was leading by an average of six points in six significant swing states.
These polls are arguably more significant than national surveys since the outcome of the election could depend on these swing states.
Head of University College London’s Center on U.S. Politics, Thomas Gift, once said that interpreting polls too heavily was “a fool’s errand.”
He said, “Polls are so inconsistent right now that the only reliable conclusion we can draw from them is that Biden and Trump are tied, both nationally and in important swing states.” “It is a fool’s errand to try to read too much into any one poll, or even set of polls, five months out from the election.”